The event organizers have called the Billabong Pro J’Bay off for today due to small swell conditions.

Jordy Smith going the aeriel route at the Billabong Pro J'Bay. Photo: ASP

There is a SW swell along with a very modest easterly wind swell for Sunday and into Monday morning. According to Surfline, very small surf will prevail for Tuesday and Wednesday.

The good news is that long range charts and models continue to indicate a more significant series of SW to SSW swells will show for the last 3-4 days of the contest waiting period, as a brief gap between two separate high pressure ridges will allow a storm to move toward the region later next week.

Dolphins crusing the Supertubes line up. Photo: ASP

At this point it appears that a building trend is possible as early Thursday the 21st, although the strongest run of surf looks more likely for around Friday afternoon the 22nd and Saturday the 23rd, with a decreasing trend by Sunday the 24th. We’ll be able to refine this forecast over the next few days, once we see the storm actually pull together, but the fact that it has consistently shown on the long range charts/models over the past 2-3 days is definitely a positive sign.

SUNDAY 17th

SWELL/SURF: Small, short period E windswell is strongest in the morning and small, reinforcing SSW swell builds through the afternoon. Look for surf primarily in the 2-3 occ. 4’ range (waist up to shoulder high on sets).
WIND/WEATHER: Light northerly wind in the morning, shifting to light/variable to light onshore in the afternoon. Sunny weather continues.

MONDAY 18th

SWELL/SURF: Decreasing SSW swell leftovers, strongest in the morning, and small E windswell with 2-3’ occ. 4’ faces early and getting smaller through the day.
WIND/WEATHER: Light to moderate W to SW flow and clean conditions.

TUESDAY 19th

SWELL/SURF: Small SSW swell leftovers and small E windswell, mainly waist high or less.
WIND/WEATHER: Light/variable flow.

WEDNESDAY 20th

SWELL/SURF: Small E windswell with minor SSW swell and surf is waist high or less.
WIND/WEATHER: Light/variable to light westerly flow.

THURSDAY 21st

SWELL/SURF: Potential for new, building SSW swell and 3-4-5’+ faces. This is very dependent on storm formation and behavior in the next few days. Stay tuned.
WIND/WEATHER: Possible increasing W/SW flow.

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